Population development in Paderborn: turning points and challenges 2024

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The demographic situation in Paderborn currently shows interesting developments that influence both the population and social dynamics. For eleven months, the population in the city has been stable over 157,000 people. However, this continuity cannot be explained without a look at the factors that have led to the current changes.

negative natural population movement

A negative trend is emerging in the birth and death rate. In the first half of 2023, 682 births were registered, which represents an increase compared to the previous year. However, the death rate with 726 cases exceeded the birth number, which led to a natural balance of -44 people. This is already the third decline in a row. Experts warn that such developments could lead to an aging of the population in the long term.

migration movements and refugee situation

The migration movements in Paderborn also showed a negative trend in the first half of 2024. 3827 attrits were registered, which represents a decline of 11 percent compared to the previous year. This could partially be attributed to the reduced number of occupancy in the refugee accommodation in the former Dempsey barracks. Around 350 people currently live here after the number was twice as high. This has caused the city to have declines in many districts outside the course of moving.

influence on society

The demographic changes also have an impact on the community. While the core city of Paderborn had a slight increase of 112 people, many districts had to accept losses, in particular Neuhaus Castle with 232 less, which affects the social structures in the affected areas. This development can have an impact on local infrastructure and services.

increase in the number of foreigners, especially among Ukrainians

The number of foreign residents in Paderborn rose slightly to 23,957 people in the first half of 2024, which corresponds to 15.2 percent of the population. The largest group continues to form that of the Ukrainians, the number of which increase by 220 to 2727. This increase shows how many refugees from Ukraine in Paderborn are looking for a new home and illustrates the importance of integration programs. The presence of students from India is also getting stronger, which Paderborn could further strengthen as an educational location.

outlook on future population development

The city's statistics office emphasizes that decisive factors for population development in 2024 will be the complete closure of the refugee accommodation in Neuhaus Schloß and the recruitment of students by Paderborn's universities. The city is required to create attractive conditions to win young people for studying so that the population remains at a stable level and enables growth in the long term.